The upcoming Lok Sabha elections in Haryana are shaping up to be a survival battle for the regional parties, the Jannayak Janata Party (JJP) and the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD). With the state bracing for a direct showdown between the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Opposition Indian National Congress (INC), these regional outfits are fighting an uphill battle to remain relevant in Haryana's political landscape.
Political pundits believe that retaining their core vote bank, the influential Jat community, will be a struggling task for the JJP and INLD. Since parliamentary elections are typically fought on national issues, these regional parties will struggle to resonate with their traditional supporters, who may be swayed by the larger narratives of the national parties.
The INLD, once a intimidating force in Haryana politics, has seen its fortunes dwindle since the split in 2018 that led to the formation of the JJP. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the INLD secured a mere 1.9% of the vote share, its worst-ever performance. The JJP fared slightly better, garnering 4.9% of the votes, but both parties failed to secure a single parliamentary seat.
However, in the 2019 Assembly elections, the JJP emerged as a kingmaker, winning 10 seats and forming an alliance government with the BJP. This alliance, however, broke down in March of this year, leaving the JJP to contest the Lok Sabha elections alone. Similarly, the INLD, which had hoped to forge an alliance with the INDIA bloc, failed to do so and is now fighting a solitary battle.
Former Deputy Chief Minister and senior JJP leader Dushyant Chautala remains optimistic, asserting that voters will repose faith in the JJP over national parties, as a regional party would be better positioned to raise people's voices in Parliament.
However, the harsh reality is that both the JJP and INLD are facing an existential crisis. Not only are they struggling to retain their traditional Jat vote bank, but their very survival as relevant political forces in Haryana is at stake. A poor performance in these elections could relegate them to the fringes of state politics, overshadowed by the dominant national parties.
As the campaign heats up, the JJP and INLD will need to mount an aggressive campaign, highlighting their local credentials and appealing to the sentiments of their core supporters. Whether they can withstand the onslaught of the BJP and Congress remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the upcoming Lok Sabha elections will be a make-or-break moment for these regional parties in Haryana.